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Allawi’s Party Wins Plurality – Whither To Now, Iraq?

Posted on March 27 2010 1:03 pm
John L. Work is a veteran of twenty years of Colorado law enforcement service and a graduate of Cal State Long Beach, B.A. and M.A. He has been a contributor and featured columnist for NewsRealBlog since January of 2010, and a guest columnist for FrontPageMagazine.
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Pending decisions on motions for re-counts yet to be filed by current Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, former Prime Minister Ayad Allawi’s (photo above) al-Iraqiya party has won a two-seat-margin plurality in the past week’s parliamentary elections.  Assuming the election results do not change, Allawi must increase his control from 89 to 163 seats in order to again become Prime Minister.  He will have to negotiate both with the Kurds, who won 43 positions, and with Moqtada al-Sadr’s Iraqi National Alliance, which controls 70.  Yesterday’s New York Times published an analysis of the election results, interestingly broken down mostly along Sunni v. Shiite sectarian lines.  More on that further down the page.  With thanks to NRB’s Ryan Mauro, the NYT story is here:

“BAGHDAD — The secular party of Ayad Allawi, a former interim prime minister once derided as an American puppet, won a wafer-thin victory in Iraq’s election, setting the stage for a protracted period of political uncertainty and possible violence that could threaten plans to withdraw American troops…

…Iraqi political experts interviewed Friday doubted that Mr. Allawi would succeed in assembling a governing coalition. But even if he did, they said it would take at least until July, possibly even longer, a potentially destabilizing stretch in which a disgruntled Mr. Maliki would serve as caretaker prime minister of the nation…”

All well and good.  Our elections here in the U.S.A. are also occasionally protested and re-counts done.  Should Allawi succeed in gathering a sufficient coalition to make him the Prime Minister, it is a major change in Iraqi politics.  But please pardon my skepticism.  It is not a major change in the foundation of the country or of our position with the World of Islam.  Here is a section of the Iraqi Constitution, courtesy of the October 12, 2005 Washington Post:


Article 1:

(The Republic of Iraq is a single, independent federal state with full sovereignty. Its system of government is republican, representative 61/27Parliamentary63/47 and democratic. This Constitution is the guarantor of its unity)

Article 2:

First: Islam is the official religion of the State and it is a fundamental source of legislation:

A. No law that contradicts the established provisions of Islam may be established.

B. No law that contradicts the principles of democracy may be established.

C. No law that contradicts the rights and basic freedoms stipulated in this constitution may be established.

Second: This Constitution guarantees the Islamic identity of the majority of the Iraqi people and guarantees the full religious rights of all individuals to freedom of religious belief and practice such as Christians, Yazedis, and Mandi Sabeans…”

(Bold print emphasis is mine.)  By the law and doctrines of Islam, “A” and “B” above are in direct opposition to each other in their ideas.  “C” is nonsensical in a most Orwellian way, since there are no basic freedoms in Islam, as we in the West understand the term freedom.  Given the built-in intolerance of Islam for other religious and legal practices, Part the “Second” is a contradiction within itself and also opposes “A”.

Imagine where we would be if our Constitutional Framers had inserted clauses establishing, say, either Judaism or Christianity as the “official religion of the State”, and mandating that no law contradicting the provisions thereof may be passed.  So, now we patiently wait and see where Iraq is going.  There is much yet to be played out.

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