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Reflections on Iran’s Islamic Republic

Posted on February 11 2010 4:00 pm
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by Daniel Pipes

Today marks the Islamic Republic of Iran’s 31st anniversary and so offers an appropriate moment both to reflect on its works and speculate about its future.

Looking at achievements, the Khomeinist regime has survived great challenges — especially an eight-year war with Iraq — and succeeded in forwarding its Islamist agenda. By exploiting many tools — religion, subversion, terrorism, carbohydrates, and potential WMD — it has become the world’s foremost security threat.

Beyond this hard shell, however, one discovers deep vulnerabilities. Domestically, there’s impoverishment, rampant inflation, drug addiction, and human trafficking, and what one analyst calls the country’s “galloping demographic decline.” These problems have inspired widespread alienation from Islamism and even from Islam itself, devastating street protests, and a split in the regime’s leadership.


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