Michael van der Galien

Brown Pulls Out To 10% Lead

Posted on January 17 2010 7:30 pm
Michael van der Galien was born in the Dutch city of Leeuwarden in 1984. For as long as he can remember, he has been obsessed with the United States. When he was 17 years old, he started blogging - of course about America. His articles have been published at Big Hollywood, Pajamas Media, Hot Air (the GreenRoom) and Right Across The Atlantic. He's also an editor for the Dutch conservative blog, De Dagelijkse Standaard.
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by AJStrata

A new poll from, an outfit I am not familiar with (which means I have no idea of their credibility, is out on the MA Special Election. Bottom line: Brown is cleaning Coakley’s clock by 9.6% (50.8%-41.2%). 3rd party candidate Kennedy comes in with a realistic 1.8% (in line with what we saw in the 2009 NJ governor’s race) and 6.2% are still undecided (which seems high).

I think this poll is pretty solid because it has a reasonable turnout model (D34-R17-I48) for this election. That is not far off from the normal MA party affiliation (D37-R12-I51) while giving the Brown side a reasonable edge in momentum and energy. If we assume Coakley and Brown split the undecideds (reasonable for now) we end up with Brown winning by a stunning 10%.

Read the whole thing at The Strata-Sphere.

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